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- DC Lite #254
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1. Labor productivity. "American economic output per hour worked has risen 8.9% over the last five years—faster than the five years prior or any point in the 2010s—in spite of the COVID-19 pandemic."
2. Redbook. Same-store retail sales jumped by 7.4% YoY in the week ending Nov 30, the biggest increase since December 2022.
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3. Yields vs. stocks. "Ten-year Treasury yields have been the most important driver of marginal global equity dollar-based returns this year ... when yields rise (Q1, Q4 to date) or are stable (Q2), US equities outperform but, when they fall (Q3), rest of world stocks do better."
4. Valuation distribution. "The excitement for US equities is pushing valuations to extremes, with the top 10 stocks by market cap trading at 30x forward earnings, and the distribution of stock valuations way beyond the average."
5. Stocks vs. GDP. “For the first time in history, the market capitalization of all active stocks in the United States is more than twice the nation’s Gross Domestic Product."
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