DC Lite #271

5 of Monday's best charts and insights

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Daily Chartbook
December 30, 2024

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1. Credit card loan defaults. "Credit card lenders wrote off $46bn in seriously delinquent loan balances in the first nine months of 2024, up 50 per cent from the same period in the year prior and the highest level in 14 years."

2. 10-year vs. SPX. "Yields above 4.5% = concern. Above 4.75% = correction. Above 5% = danger."

3. Top-heavy returns. Tech stocks are responsible for 59% of the S&P 500's gains since the October 2022 bottom.

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4. SPX vs. ATHs. "The S&P hit 57 all-time highs in 2024 … Historically, the S&P tends to struggle in the next year, especially in Q2."

5. EPS vs. PMI. A recovery in manufacturing should lead to stronger earnings growth.

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