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DC Lite #308
"We are running out of new gold"
Welcome back to DC Lite: Daily Chartbook’s free, entry-level newsletter containing 5 of the day’s best charts & insights.
1. Consumer Confidence. The Consumer Confidence Index fell by the most since August 2021.
2. Job expectations. "The expectation that there will be fewer jobs out there 6 months from now just surged to its highest level in over a decade."
3. Gold discoveries. "Since 2005 the amount of gold discovered declined by 50% every 5 years. We are running out of new gold."
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4. Short interest. "Short interest at the single-stock level has increased to the highest level since 2020, but remains low relative to history. The median S&P 500 stock carries short interest equivalent to just 2.0% of market cap, ranking in the 29th percentile relative to history."
5. Profit margins. "The 1990s brought in a wave of tech innovation that clearly hasn’t stopped. Along that path, note the secular improvement in S&P profit margins. I’m not smart enough to know where AI will lead us, but I’m inclined to think that it only supports a trend that’s been well in train."
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