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- DC Lite #312
DC Lite #312
"The initial post-election stock market rally has largely faded"
Welcome back to DC Lite: Daily Chartbook’s free, entry-level newsletter containing 5 of the day’s best charts & insights.
1. Q1 GDPNow. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model estimate for Q1 GDP growth plunged again, dropping to -2.8% from -1.5% on Friday (and +2.3% previously).
2. Crypto asset flows. "Digital asset investment products saw a 3rd consecutive week of outflows, marking the largest weekly outflows on record at a total of US$2.9bn, bringing the three-week total to [a record] US$3.8bn."
3. Equity positioning. "The initial post-election stock market rally has largely faded. Equity positioning has declined sharply, approaching neutral levels and effectively erasing the gains seen after the November 2024 election."
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4. SOXX flows. "Finally getting some signs of capitulation in semiconductors."
5. Post-election cycle. "In the first two months of the year, the S&P 500 has followed its typical pattern for the post election cycle."
ICYMI
Fri 2/28 #311: “There is a clear bid to the market in the second half of March, and the 14th sticks out to me as the local low”
Thu 2/27 #310: "Hedge funds have been selling off tech and communication services in size"
Wed 2/26 #309: "US stocks are suffering from a momentum unwind, not a growth scare"
Mon 2/24 #307: "Q4 earnings season reflects a character change in the market"
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